The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (NYSEARCA:XRT) tracks the S&P Retail Select Industry Index with equal-weighted exposure across 73 retail holdings spanning apparel, grocery, discount, and specialty retail. Unlike market-cap weighted funds, XRT's equal-weight structure means smaller retailers carry the same influence as mega-caps like Walmart. XRT has delivered 11.05% returns over the past year, but recent momentum has stalled - the fund is up just 2.47% year-to-date and has pulled back 3.34% over the past month, reflecting growing uncertainty about the consumer spending outlook.
"We continue to see extraordinary demand for travel and experiences," Capuano told Yahoo! Finance. "It feels like a fundamentally permanent shift that consumers are prioritizing spending on travel and experiences versus purchase of hard goods." The hotel chain expects earnings growth in 2026, with revenue driven by adding rooms to its portfolio and higher co-branded credit card fees. While U.S. business was slightly weaker in the fourth quarter due to the government shutdown, Capuano says the fundamentals remain strong.
"For you to have money, you have to learn to live below your means but within your needs. How do you do that? You do that by simply purchasing needs versus wants. What is a need? Need is food that you buy at a grocery store. What is a want? A want is going out to eat at a restaurant and doing it over and over again."
As economist Dean Baker explains for the Center for Economic Policy and Research, for AI companies' current valuations to make sense, they'd need profit growth over the next five years that requires one of two things: either AI starts bringing in cash by the truckload, or profits for all the other corporations in America collapse. Both prospects seem extremely unlikely, yet the AI investments keep coming - and they seem to be dragging American workers into an economy their wages can't support.
Donald Trump became president for the second time on this day in 2025. With that came a lot of new economicplans for trade, immigration, and the federal workforce. Elizabeth Renter, a senior economist at NerdWallet, said uncertainty from actual or potential policy changes affected consumers, job seekers, and small to midsize businesses. "There was a lot of guesswork happening in 2025, and then you add to that mix issues with economic statistics, and sort of reading the tea leaves to figure out where the economy is headed amidst all this change became increasingly difficult," Renter said.
New figures from the British Retail Consortium (BRC) show overall retail sales rose by just 1.2% in December compared with a year earlier - well below the 12-month average growth rate of 2.3%. While food sales proved resilient, demand for non-food items such as clothing, electronics and gifting products fell flat at the most critical time of the year. Non-food sales slipped by 0.3% year on year in December, a sharp reversal from the 4.4% growth recorded in the same month in 2024.
Companies across the state say rising operating costs continue to squeeze their outlook, according to the latest Associated Industries of Massachusetts Business Confidence Index. Confidence in both the state and U.S. economies has dropped more than 15 points from a year ago, even as consumer spending holds steady and business investment shows resilience. "Consumer spending has remained relatively resilient, supported by steady job growth, rising real wages in some sectors, and strong balance sheets among higher-income households," said Sara Johnson, chair of the AIM Board of Economic Advisors.
According to a new survey by Salesforce, consumers spent a record-breaking $1.29 trillion globally, and $294 billion in the U.S., amid higher average selling prices, up 7% year-over-year, during the recent holiday season. Sales growth reached 7% globally and 4% in the U.S., indicating that consumer appetite remained strong from the start of the season through the end. Order volumes were also up, 3% globally and and 1% in the U.S.
Boxing Day sales are expected to deliver a £3.6 billion boost to UK retailers this year, around £1 billion less than in 2024, as cost-of-living pressures continue to weigh on household spending. The forecast comes from Barclays, which tracks nearly half of all credit and debit card transactions across the UK. The anticipated decline represents a blow to retailers during their all-important "golden quarter", traditionally the most lucrative period of the year.
US real gross domestic product rose at an annualized rate of 4.3% in the third quarter, exceeding the 3.3% expected and more than the 3.8% growth in the second quarter. "The increase in real GDP in the third quarter reflected increases in consumer spending, exports, and government spending that were partly offset by a decrease in investment," the Bureau of Economic Analysis said.
After years of wartime splurging, Russian shoppers are tightening their grip on their wallets - a shift that hints at growing stress in the country's economy. Growth in consumer spending has weakened across most regions, the Central Bank of Russia said in a report published Wednesday. In October and November, demand softened even as unemployment remained near historic lows and inflation expectations ticked higher.
The research by the non-profit group Material Focus found about 1.7bn was spent last year on Christmas lighting, including 39m sets of fairy lights. Consumers bought a further 28m light-up items such as garlands, wreaths, stars and snow globes, along with 23m light-up figures and characters and 16m pre-lit Christmas trees.
A report from Adobe Analytics said video games and consoles are expected to be among the "key drivers of holiday spending" this year in the US, with seven products overall singled out. Ranked in no particular order, the top seven most sought-after gaming items for Holiday 2025 are: Nintendo Switch 2 PlayStation 5 Xbox Series X Donkey Kong Bananza Madden NFL 26 NBA 2K26 Call of Duty: Black Ops 7